A research on strategic flexibilities value based on binomial model 基于二叉樹模型的戰(zhàn)略柔性價(jià)值研究
The algorithm for real - options evaluation based on quantum binomial model 基于量子二項(xiàng)式模型的實(shí)物期權(quán)估值算法
Asymptotic solution of expected discounted penalty in the compound binomial model 離散時(shí)間模型下的罰金折現(xiàn)期望的漸近解
A new economic evaluation method of oil - gas exploration and development is established in the article . the hard core of the article is that : discussing the applying theory of the oil - gas exploration and development economic evaluation based on the real options , analyzing and confirming the binomial model of the abandon option in the exploring phase and the partial differential equation of the shut - down option in the developing phase fitting for most oil - gas projects , ascertaining correlative factors based on real projects and the methods how to estimate parameters 本文要構(gòu)建一種基于實(shí)物期權(quán)法的油氣勘探開發(fā)類項(xiàng)目的經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)方法,探討基于實(shí)物期權(quán)法的油氣勘探開發(fā)經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)方法的應(yīng)用原理,提出適合大多油氣勘探開發(fā)項(xiàng)目的勘探階段放棄期權(quán)二叉樹模型和開發(fā)階段停啟期權(quán)偏微分方程,確定基于該類項(xiàng)目實(shí)際的相關(guān)參數(shù),并提供解決參數(shù)估計(jì)的方法。
As the hard core of this paper , this chapter gives a frame which will help us to understand the new economic evaluation method of oil - gas projects better at first , then discusses the binomial model and the parameters estimating methods of abandon real options in the exploring phase , the partial differential equation model and the parameters estimating methods of the shut - down real options in the developing phase respectively . in the course of ascertaining the parameters estimating methods , this chapter discusses the application of a mathematic method - the monte carlo simulation in this article particularly 做為全文的核心,先提出勘探項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)新方法研究的總體框架,然后具體討論確定勘探階段放棄期權(quán)的二叉樹實(shí)物期權(quán)模型與參數(shù)確定方法、開發(fā)階段停啟期權(quán)的偏微分實(shí)物期權(quán)模型與參數(shù)確定方法,在參數(shù)確定過程中,詳細(xì)闡述了蒙特卡羅模擬這一數(shù)學(xué)工具在本論文方法中的應(yīng)用;第五,案例分析及方法應(yīng)用探討。
A real options framework of venture capital investment decision in discrete - time is build . based on the extended npv formula , binomial model combined with black - scholes formula , an integrated model of venture capital investment decision evaluation is given . there are five parts in the model , and five steps to get the solution to 構(gòu)建了離散狀態(tài)下風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資決策的實(shí)物期權(quán)框架:以擴(kuò)展的凈現(xiàn)值法計(jì)算公式為基礎(chǔ),將二叉樹模型與black - scholes模型結(jié)合,構(gòu)建了一個(gè)評(píng)價(jià)評(píng)價(jià)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資決策的綜合模型,模型分為五部分,分五步求解。
Section three introduces three different pricing models of real option : partial differential equation ( pde ) , simulation method and dynamic procedural method . among of them , binomial option pricing model is the most important . the beauty of the binomial model is its simplicity 文章首先分析石油行業(yè)的特點(diǎn),緊接著對(duì)我國(guó)石油行業(yè)幾十年來(lái)主要應(yīng)用的項(xiàng)目評(píng)估方法進(jìn)行分析,比較它們和實(shí)物期權(quán)法的不同,最后結(jié)合石油勘探開發(fā)的具體例子展示應(yīng)用實(shí)物期權(quán)法給項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)帶來(lái)的影響。
Individual risk models approximation by compound poisson approximation is discussed . three principles are presented , and the optimal choice of poisson parameters under the three principles is discussed . it is proved that the individual risk model is also a compound binomial model ; and formulas on the calculation of the optimal parameters are given . for two distributions , exponential and pareto , calculating results are given 具體討論個(gè)體風(fēng)險(xiǎn)模型的復(fù)合poisson逼近。引入了3個(gè)準(zhǔn)則,在這3個(gè)準(zhǔn)則下,分別討論poisson參數(shù)的選取。證明了個(gè)體風(fēng)險(xiǎn)模型為一復(fù)合二項(xiàng)分布模型在3種準(zhǔn)則下,討論了參數(shù)的計(jì)算,并給出參數(shù)的計(jì)算公式對(duì)指數(shù)分布和pareto分布,給出計(jì)算結(jié)果。